Is History Repeating Itself in Bitcoin? Analysis Company Predicts BTC's Movement in the Coming Days Based on Previous Data!

The Crypto analysis company Alphractal drew attention to the cyclical behaviors observed in the Bitcoin market in its latest assessment.

According to the company's statement, the 30-day cumulative Open Position Delta level reached levels seen during the period when Bitcoin approached $73,000 in 2024, testing all-time high levels.

Alphractal analysts indicate that a distinct cyclical pattern has emerged in the market: a two-phase structure where increases and decreases in Open Position Delta follow each other (Phase 1 and Phase 2). Generally, when there is a strong increase in positions with positive Delta, it is almost always followed by a negative correction of nearly the same magnitude. This situation points to a regularly repeating cycle in the market.

The 180-day Delta data included in the company's analysis provides even more striking signals. According to Alphractal:

The sudden drops on Delta generally indicate that long positions opened with high leverage have been liquidated en masse.

When Delta turns negative, it often indicates market bottoms or accumulation zones.

According to the latest data, the 180-day Delta is on the verge of turning negative. This situation suggests that there may be more volatility in the coming days, but it also indicates that a new consolidation phase could begin.

The report also indicated that the Open Position volume did not increase as strongly during the period from October 2023 to the beginning of 2024 and then from October 2024 to the beginning of 2025. These annually recurring trends may suggest that investor risk appetite moves in a fractal structure.